Prof. Dr. Till Strohsal

Professional career

10/2023 - present
Professor of Economics, esp. Economic Policy
Berlin School of Economics and Law (HWR Berlin), Department of Business and Economics

09/2020 - 09/2023
Economist
Federal Chancellery, Division: Economic Policy; Economic Development; Special Tasks

10/2015 - 08/2020
Economist
Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action, Division: Monitoring, Analysis and Projection of Macroeconomic Development

05/2018 - present
Privatdozent
Freie Universität Berlin

10/2010 - 12/2016
Teaching and Research Assistant
Institute for Statistics and Econometrics, Freie Universität Berlin (Prof. Dieter Nautz, Econometrics) and Collaborative Research Centre 649: Economic Risk, Project Area C14 "Expectations Management of Central Banks", Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin

03/2012 - 07/2012
Traineeship
European Central Bank, Monetary Policy Strategy Devision

10/2009 - 09/2010
Teaching and Research Assistant
Universität Regensburg (Prof. Enzo Weber, Empirical Economics)

10/2007 - 09/2009
Student Teaching Assistant
Institute for Statistics and Econometrics, Freie Universität Berlin (Prof. Jürgen Wolters, Econometrics)

Education

04/2018
Habilitation (Economics, Focus: Applied Econometrics)
 "Essays on Empirical Macroeconomics", Freie Universität Berlin

12/2013
Ph.D. in Economics (Dr. rer. pol.)
"The Term Structure of Interest Rates and Monetary Policy: An Empirical Assessment", Freie Universität Berlin, Doctoral Committee: Prof. Dieter Nautz, Prof., Helmut Lütkepohl, Prof. Enzo Weber, Prof. Jürgen Wolters

09/2009
Diplom-Volkswirt (MSc equiv. in Economics)
Freie Universität Berlin

Macroeconomics

Empirical methods to analyze macroeconomic research questions

Time Series Analysis and Frequency Domain Analysis

Inflation Expectations Anchoring

Term Structure of Interest Rates

Financial Cycle and Business Cycle

Forecasting

Andreini, P., Hasenzagl, T., Reichlin, L., Senftleben, C., Strohsal, T. (2023): "Nowcasting German GDP: Foreign Factors, Financial Markets and Model Averaging", International Journal of Forecasting, 39, 298-313.

Zhen, Z., Weber, E., Strohsal, T., Serhan, D. (2021): "Sustainable Border Control Policy in the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Math Modeling Study", Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease, 41, May-June.

Strohsal, T., Wolf, E. (2020): "Data Revisions to German National Accounts: Are Initial Releases Good Nowcasts?", International Journal of Forecasting, 36, 1252-1259.

Strohsal, T., Proaño, C.R., Wolters, J. (2019): "Characterizing the Financial Cycle: Evidence from a Frequency Domain Analysis", Journal of Banking & Finance, 106, 568-591.

Strohsal, T., Proaño, C.R., Wolters, J. (2019): "Assessing the Cross-Country Interaction of Financial Cycles: Evidence from a Multivariate Spectral Analysis of the US and the UK", Empirical Economics, 57, 385-398.

Nautz, D., Strohsal, T., Netsunajev A. (2019): "The Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in the Short and in the Long Run", Macroeconomic Dynamics, 23, 1959-1977.

Melnick, R., Strohsal, T. (2017): "Disinflation in Steps and the Phillips Curve: Israel 1986-2015", Journal of Macroeconomics, 53, 145-161.

Strohsal, T. (2017): "Bond Yields and Debt Supply: New Evidence through the Lens of a Preferred-Habitat Model", Quantitative Finance, 17, 1509-1522.

Nautz, D., Pagenhardt, L., Strohsal, T. (2017): "The (De-)Anchoring of Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from the Euro Area", North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 40, 103-115.

Strohsal, T., Melnick, R., Nautz, D. (2016): "The Time-Varying Degree of Inflation Expectations Anchoring", Journal of Macroeconomics, 48, 62-71.

Strohsal, T., Winkelmann, L. (2015): "Assessing the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations", Journal of International Money and Finance, 50, 33-48.

Nautz, D., Strohsal, T. (2015): "Are US Inflation Expectations Re-Anchored?", Economics Letters, 127, 6-9.

Strohsal, T., Weber, E. (2015): "Time-Varying International Stock Market Interaction and the Identification of Volatility Signals", Journal of Banking & Finance, 56, 28-36.

Strohsal, T.,Weber, E. (2014): "Mean-Variance Cointegration and the Expectations Hypothesis", Quantitative Finance, 16, 1983-1997.